Mark Didrick is CBCC 2009 Champion!!

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How to Win College Basketball Confidence Contest 2009!

We thought we would cut everyone some slack and give them some tips on how to make your CBCC picks this year.  The following article was written by veteran dirty-dawger and College Basketball expert Pat Vesper, from Midland, Texas.  As Pat points out, he has never actually won the CBCC, but he has been one of the most consistent CBCC dawgers finishing 2nd in 2004, 5th in 2003, 7th in 2006 and 19th in 2008.  Ignore Pat's advice and suffer the dirty-dawg consequences!

The Seven Steps to Highly Effective dirty-dawg Basketball Contest People  

By: Pat Vesper

In all my years of playing the dirty-dawg basketball contest (or college football contest), I’ve never won.  Sure, that makes me a loser.  However, at least in the March Madness contest, I have utilized a few techniques that have made me consistently competitive allowing me to lose gracefully.  I’d like to share some of these simple guidelines with you as you fill out your magical sheet of 64 on your way to becoming the next dirty-dawg basketball champion!

1.  Guards Win Championships

Look no further than last year’s final Kansas/Memphis.  Both teams got to the final game on the leadership of their backcourt.  In the final, it was Mario Chalmers heroic three-pointer that forced OT and the Jayhawks prevailed.  Was it luck?  Not a chance.  Chalmers shot almost 47% from 3-point range for the entire year.  Chalmers added 4 steals and the other guard, teammate Sherron Collins has 6 assists.  Guards win basketball games and championships.  My recommendation:  Pay close attention to assist to turnover ratio when picking teams to advance or pull the occasional upset.

2.  Look at rebounding and defense. 

Teams that rebound and play defense can dominate.  When you limit teams to one shot and alter your opponent’s offensive schemes, your chances of winning increase.  

3.  Ignore the regular season conference games.   

When assessing a team’s worth, ignore the conference season matchups.  Rivalry and familiarity play too much of a factor in the outcome of these games.  Instead, focus on games that were played early in the year and also on neutral courts.  This will give you a better idea of a team’s true potential.

4.  Determine the strength of the conferences.

It is very important to look at the conference and make a determination based on non-conference games who is really better.  As the season progresses, teams can acquire a good record in a cupcake conference.  These teams can only be considered good if they have good guard play, can rebound, and play defense.  This technique will help you pick winners in close matchups.

5.  8s and 9s rarely win two games.

There is a reason that teams seeded 8 or 9 are in that position - they are mediocre at best.  They are used to losing to really good teams.  After winning one game, they’ll be headed home.  Adjust your confidence values accordingly.

6.  Don’t pick lots of upsets

Yes, there will be upsets.  However, it is unlikely that there will be lots of upsets.  I limit my upsets in the early rounds to just a few games and pay close attention to the middle of each bracket away from the #1 and #2 seeds.  The middle of the bracket is where you should cover yourself by weighting higher confidence values.  This is also the area where the occasional upset special can be found.  The 7/10, 6/11, 5/12, and 4/13 games are all games to look at closely.  But remember, experts seeded this tournament.   It’s unlikely that Cornell is headed to the Final 4.  If a team pulls a George Mason on me, I’ll be in serious trouble.

7.  Pick the winners and you’ll win!

It’s as simple as that.  If you pick the winners, you’ll be crowned a dirty-dawg champion.  No matter what your method, you must win games in the middle and late rounds.  I hope to see you in the March Madness dirty-dawg Hall of Fame upon conclusion of this season.  What a great sport and time of year!!!


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College Football Confidence Contest (CFCC)

 

CFCC Status:

CFCC 2009 Begins August 2009

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Cyndi Pulis wins CFCC 2008!!

 

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Pro Football Confidence Contest (PFCC)

PFCC Status: 

PFCC 2009 Begin September 2009

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Holly Floyd Wins PFCC 2008!!

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