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BJ Ellis Profile

Week 4

Current Place: 346 Overall

Location: Corpus Christi, Texas

Week 4 Results

🔥 Bold Pick — confidence was a real statistical outlier compared to the rest of the field, outcome still unknown🏆 Top Dawg Pick — that bold call paid off💩 Dawg Pile Pick — that bold call didn't
Tap any badge for the numbers behind it.

Your Pick	Final Score	Confidence Factor	Confidence Departure	Result
Texas	Texas 20 Tennessee 17	5	-0.1	5
Michigan	Iowa 20 Michigan 19	8	+3.5	-8
Boise State	Boise State 32 Western Michigan 7	6	-1.7	6
UCF	UCF 21 TCU 13	4	+6.7	4
Utah	Utah 31 Iowa State 17	2	-8.2	2
Ole Miss	Florida 52 Ole Miss 28	7	+6.2	-7
Georgia	Georgia 41 Oklahoma 13	12	-1.7	12
New Mexico	New Mexico 42 New Mexico State 18	11	-1	11
Penn State	Wisconsin 24 Penn State 20	14	+1.5	-14
West Virginia	Oklahoma State 41 West Virginia 24	3	+0.7	-3
Cincinnati 🏆 Top Dawg Pick Confidence9 Vs. field average+14.9 Field size372 picks Z-score5.4 Flagged when a pick is at least 3.5 modified-SDs off the field's call on this game -- an unusually bold side and/or confidence.	Cincinnati 31 Kansas State 26	9	+14.9	9
Oregon	Oregon 41 USC 27	13	+11.1	13
LSU	LSU 35 Texas A&M 6	10	+1	10
Missouri 💩 Dawg Pile Pick Confidence15 Vs. field average+21.3 Field size372 picks Z-score-4.95 Flagged when a pick is at least 3.5 modified-SDs off the field's call on this game -- an unusually bold side and/or confidence.	Mississippi State 31 Missouri 24	15	+21.3	-15
Tulsa	Arkansas 34 Tulsa 6	1	+6.7	-1
Status: FINAL (9-6)			Total Points:	24

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