Big Dance Consensus

2026 Season

dawg's Path to the Championship

East Champ
1 Duke
South Champ
1 Florida
Left Side Winner
1 Duke
National Champion Pick
1 Arizona
Consensus Rating: 61.7
Right Side Winner
1 Arizona
West Champ
1 Arizona
Midwest Champ
1 Michigan

The Wisdom of the Crowd

These picks represent the average confidence score for each tournament team across all 100 members.

National Champ Rank #1
Final Four Top 4
Elite Eight Top 8
Sweet Sixteen Top 16

East Regional

1 Duke Final 4
61.4
16 Sienna
4.3
8 Ohio State
35.0
9 TCU
31.0
5 St John's
43.3
12 Northern Iowa
19.5
4 Kansas Sweet 16
48.6
13 Cal Baptist
16.1
6 Louisville
39.3
11 South Florida
28.8
3 Michigan State Sweet 16
55.1
14 North Dakota State
12.4
7 UCLA
39.5
10 UCF
28.2
2 UConn Elite 8
56.9
15 Furman
8.9

West Regional

1 Arizona Champ Pick
61.7
16 Long Island
3.5
8 Villanova
31.9
9 Utah State
32.4
5 Wisconsin
45.1
12 High Point
20.2
4 Arkansas Sweet 16
49.7
13 Hawaii
15.6
6 BYU
39.8
11 Texas
25.5
3 Gonzaga Sweet 16
53.3
14 Kennesaw State
10.9
7 Miami (FL)
36.8
10 Missouri
28.6
2 Purdue Elite 8
56.3
15 Queens (N.C.)
6.8

South Regional

1 Florida Final 4
59.9
16 PVAMU
3.7
8 Clemson
33.1
9 Iowa
32.5
5 Vanderbilt Sweet 16
48.3
12 McNeese
20.1
4 Nebraska Sweet 16
47.0
13 Troy
16.6
6 North Carolina
39.8
11 VCU
26.8
3 Illinois Sweet 16
53.9
14 Penn
12.1
7 Saint Mary's
37.9
10 Texas A&M
28.3
2 Houston Elite 8
58.5
15 Idaho
7.5

Midwest Regional

1 Michigan Final 4
60.3
16 Howard
3.2
8 Georgia
32.4
9 Saint Louis
31.0
5 Texas Tech
43.0
12 Akron
22.2
4 Alabama
46.3
13 Hofstra
15.8
6 Tennessee
42.4
11 Miami (OH)
22.2
3 Virginia Sweet 16
51.8
14 Wright State
11.3
7 Kentucky
36.4
10 Santa Clara
27.2
2 Iowa State Elite 8
56.4
15 Tennessee State
6.3
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