PFCC Week 4 Wrap: Derrick Snyder's Blind Squirrel Goes 14-1

By: Sugar (2026-10-06)

Week 4 of the PFCC was a wood chipper. Average player score of 46.6, which means more than half the field spent Sunday evening staring at a scoresheet wondering where it all went sideways. Spoiler: it went sideways in Orchard Park.

New England 100-to-1 Against the House

Buffalo was the 2nd heaviest confidence play on the board, sitting at an 11.8-point average, and the field was on it 100 percent. One hundred. Except for Brian Swinford, who apparently woke up Sunday, looked at New England, and decided to be the only adult in the building.

That one game drained 2,408 points out of the dirty-dawg field. Twenty-four hundred. You could run three weeks of PFCC on the points Buffalo swallowed.

And Buffalo didn't even have the decency to be the only one. Detroit went down in Carolina with 87 percent of the field riding the Lions. Cincinnati got clipped by Jacksonville with 66 percent on board. New Orleans was an 83 percent play and Atlanta went and won the game. Miami at 0 percent and the LA Chargers at 3 percent were the only chalk that held up the way chalk is supposed to, with Minnesota and Seattle doing the dirty work.

There was good news if you had Baltimore (99 percent, cashed), Chicago over the Jets (93 percent, cashed), and Kansas City over Las Vegas (86 percent, cashed). The rest of the slate had a mean streak.

Derrick Snyder Finds the Acorn

Derrick Snyder went 14-1. Fourteen and one, in a week where the average human being couldn't crack 47 points. He netted 96 points and that lone blemish? Buffalo, for 12. Perfect otherwise. That's not a typo and it's not a misprint.

Better yet, Derrick dropped two Top Dawg Picks on Carolina (1) and Atlanta (3) and both of them came home. That is exactly how you win a week around here, and it moved him from 168th to 55th. A plus-113 jump is the kind of thing that makes you want to frame the scoresheet.

Derrick's assessment of his own masterpiece, which we have now heard from more than one weekly winner this season:

Even a blind squirrel finds an acorn once in awhile.

Fine. But that squirrel had a plan, and the plan was Carolina.

Snyder runs with the eight-member Padookie Quack Attack, which posted the top group score of Week 4 at 52.5 points. That pushes them into 5th place overall, 7.71 points behind Tony's Barefoot OWIes, who still own the top spot. The Lake Erie Therapy Session, ReLaXers and BoomerBacks sit 2nd through 4th and all three are inside 10 points of the lead. Nobody is safe up there.

Week 4 runner-up was dirty-dawg veteran Rich Naden of Rio Rancho, NM, with 86 points. Rich also made a move, climbing 94 spots from 155 to 61. Jeff Vitale (+74, now 78) and Ted Ryan (+66, now 13) were the other guys taking the elevator up.

And on the Other Elevator

Brandon Bigelbach came into the week sitting 5th overall. He is now 151st. That's minus-146 and we're not going to say another word about it because there's nothing left to say. MICHAEL OROSCO dropped 140 spots to 184, Charles Ross fell 99 to 194, and Eric Forinash slid 94 to 196. Week 4 did not discriminate.

The Overall Board

Daniel Luyk of Grand Rapids, MI keeps right on humming at the top with 241 points on a 41-18 mark. That's a 20-point cushion over Nick Greenawalt (221, 37-22), who finished 3rd in last year's contest and clearly came back for a reason.

Charles Thomas is 3rd at 219 and 40-19, 22 back. Deb Bulloch (213, 40-19) and Joe Kunches (213, 39-20) are knotted up in 4th and 5th, with Ashley Warthen right behind at 211.

Week 5 Housekeeping

Don't look now, but there's another London game for Week 5. You know what that means: early deadline, 830 AM CDT Sunday. Set an alarm. Set two. We are not accepting "I forgot about London" as a defense for the fourth year running.

Also, we're back under 15 Sunday/Monday games this week and it'll stay that way for a stretch. So we'll be tossing some fake games at you to fill the card. Put whatever number of confidence points you want on those — you can't gain or lose on them. Most folks use 1. Some use 15. Do whatever helps you sleep.

Get your picks in. And maybe take a long look at the 100-percent plays before you do.